The School of Odds

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-05 19:01 — MLB

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Option 1: Kansas City Royals (Local)

2.0548.78%Min
2.1746.18%Mean
2.1546.51%Median
2.3043.48%Max
42.21%2.369Min
45.77%2.185Max
44.64%2.240Mean
44.73%2.236Median
44.71%2.237IQM
44.65%2.240Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 44.71%

EV +2.82%Edge +1.23%Kelly +2.17%Growth +0.061%

Option 2: Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

1.6261.73%Min
1.7158.34%Mean
1.7258.14%Median
1.8055.56%Max
54.23%1.844Min
57.79%1.730Max
55.36%1.806Mean
55.27%1.809Median
55.29%1.809IQM
55.35%1.807Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 55.29%

EV -0.470%Edge -0.261%Kelly -0.588%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerKansas City Royals (Local) ▼Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48% NM 42.21%EV +2.82% E +1.23% K +2.17% G +0.061%1.68I 59.52% NM 57.79%EV -7.11% E -4.23% K -10.45% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 17:09
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86% NM 42.28%EV +1.93% E +0.846% K +1.51% G +0.029%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.72%EV -7.66% E -4.59% K -11.43% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86% NM 42.28%EV +1.93% E +0.846% K +1.51% G +0.029%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.72%EV -7.66% E -4.59% K -11.43% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 17:10
GTbets2.25I 44.44% NM 43.61%EV +0.588% E +0.261% K +0.470% G +0.003%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.39%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 21:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44% NM 43.61%EV +0.588% E +0.261% K +0.470% G +0.003%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.39%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 05:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV +0.588% E +0.261% K +0.470% G +0.003%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -8.21% E -4.95% K -12.44% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:10
Casumo2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV +0.588% E +0.261% K +0.470% G +0.003%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -8.21% E -4.95% K -12.44% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:10
Unibet2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV +0.588% E +0.261% K +0.470% G +0.003%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -8.21% E -4.95% K -12.44% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:10
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV +0.588% E +0.261% K +0.470% G +0.003%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -8.21% E -4.95% K -12.44% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:09
betPARX2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV +0.588% E +0.261% K +0.470% G +0.003%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -8.21% E -4.95% K -12.44% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:10
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV +0.588% E +0.261% K +0.470% G +0.003%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -8.21% E -4.95% K -12.44% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 17:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -0.306% E -0.137% K -0.249% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -8.76% E -5.31% K -13.48% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:10
BetRivers2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -0.306% E -0.137% K -0.249% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -8.76% E -5.31% K -13.48% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -0.306% E -0.137% K -0.249% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -8.76% E -5.31% K -13.48% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:10
TABtouch2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -0.306% E -0.137% K -0.249% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -8.76% E -5.31% K -13.48% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 17:10
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -0.753% E -0.339% K -0.617% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -0.753% E -0.339% K -0.617% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 21:40
BetUS2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -0.753% E -0.339% K -0.617% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 00:15
BetAnything2.22I 45.05% NM 43.94%EV -0.753% E -0.339% K -0.617% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 56.06%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 12:55
Fliff2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -1.65% E -0.749% K -1.37% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -7.66% E -4.59% K -11.43% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -1.65% E -0.749% K -1.37% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -10.42% E -6.43% K -16.81% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 17:10
Caesars2.18I 45.87% NM 43.96%EV -2.54% E -1.17% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.04%EV -5.45% E -3.19% K -7.67% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 00:29
1xBet2.16I 46.30% NM 45.45%EV -3.44% E -1.59% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 54.55%EV -0.470% E -0.261% K -0.588% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 16:39
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30% NM 45.32%EV -3.44% E -1.59% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.79I 55.87% NM 54.68%EV -1.02% E -0.572% K -1.30% G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 17:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51% NM 44.87%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 55.13%EV -3.24% E -1.85% K -4.31% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 16:48
TAB2.15I 46.51% NM 44.87%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 55.13%EV -3.24% E -1.85% K -4.31% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 16:23
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 21:25
ReBet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:25
Betway2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 12:09
Coral2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.34% E -2.51% K -5.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.34% E -2.51% K -5.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -4.89% E -2.85% K -6.80% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:24
Neds2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -4.89% E -2.85% K -6.80% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:24
Fanatics2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.45% E -3.19% K -7.67% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
888sport2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.45% E -3.19% K -7.67% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.45% E -3.19% K -7.67% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.45% E -3.19% K -7.67% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:25
BetMGM2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.45% E -3.19% K -7.67% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:25
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.45% E -3.19% K -7.67% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 23:54
Coolbet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.45% E -3.19% K -7.67% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 05:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.88% E -1.81% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.00% E -3.53% K -8.57% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:30
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73% NM 44.99%EV -4.33% E -2.02% K -3.80% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 55.01%EV -3.24% E -1.85% K -4.31% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 17:00
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73% NM 44.99%EV -4.33% E -2.02% K -3.80% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 55.01%EV -3.24% E -1.85% K -4.31% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 16:50
DraftKings2.14I 46.73% NM 44.70%EV -4.33% E -2.02% K -3.80% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.30%EV -4.34% E -2.51% K -5.95% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 16:24
Bet Right2.14I 46.73% NM 44.56%EV -4.33% E -2.02% K -3.80% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.44%EV -4.89% E -2.85% K -6.80% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:45
Bovada2.13I 46.95% NM 44.96%EV -4.78% E -2.24% K -4.23% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.04%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 16:49
FanDuel2.12I 47.17% NM 45.36%EV -5.22% E -2.46% K -4.66% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 54.64%EV -2.68% E -1.52% K -3.53% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:40
NordicBet2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -5.22% E -2.46% K -4.66% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.89% E -2.85% K -6.80% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:24
Betsson2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -5.22% E -2.46% K -4.66% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.89% E -2.85% K -6.80% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:25
PlayUp2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -5.22% E -2.46% K -4.66% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -4.89% E -2.85% K -6.80% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:25
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -6.12% E -2.91% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.24% E -1.85% K -4.31% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -6.12% E -2.91% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.24% E -1.85% K -4.31% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 05:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -6.12% E -2.91% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.34% E -2.51% K -5.95% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -6.12% E -2.91% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.34% E -2.51% K -5.95% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 12:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -6.12% E -2.91% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.34% E -2.51% K -5.95% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:24
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -6.12% E -2.91% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -4.89% E -2.85% K -6.80% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:25
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -6.12% E -2.91% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -4.89% E -2.85% K -6.80% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -6.12% E -2.91% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.45% E -3.19% K -7.67% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:53
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.12% E -2.91% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -6.00% E -3.53% K -8.57% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:45
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85% NM 45.43%EV -6.56% E -3.14% K -6.02% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.57%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:34
SportsBet2.08I 48.08% NM 45.55%EV -7.01% E -3.37% K -6.49% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.45%EV -3.79% E -2.18% K -5.12% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 16:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78% NM 45.77%EV -8.35% E -4.07% K -7.96% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.23%EV -4.34% E -2.51% K -5.95% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78% NM 45.33%EV -8.35% E -4.07% K -7.96% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.67%EV -6.00% E -3.53% K -8.57% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerKansas City Royals (Local)Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%1.79I 55.87%-0.1%2026-07-05 16:20
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%1.79I 55.87%0.3%2026-07-05 16:35
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%1.79I 55.87%0.5%2026-07-05 17:10
Novig2.22I 45.05%1.80I 55.56%0.6%2026-07-05 17:00
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%1.79I 55.87%0.9%2026-07-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%1.79I 55.87%0.9%2026-07-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%1.79I 55.87%0.9%2026-07-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%1.79I 55.87%0.9%2026-07-05 17:00
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%1.78I 56.18%1.2%2026-07-05 16:45
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%1.79I 55.87%1.7%2026-07-05 17:10
Arbitrage (6 combinations) +0.98%Svenska Spel 2.30 (43.9%) / 1xBet 1.80 (56.1%)Show all 6 combinations
Kansas City Royals (Local)Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)Margin
Svenska Spel 2.30 (43.9%)1xBet 1.80 (56.1%)+0.976%
Svenska Spel 2.30 (43.8%)Pinnacle 1.79 (56.2%)+0.660%
Unibet (NL) 2.28 (44.1%)1xBet 1.80 (55.9%)+0.588%
Unibet (SE) 2.28 (44.1%)1xBet 1.80 (55.9%)+0.588%
Unibet (NL) 2.28 (44.0%)Pinnacle 1.79 (56.0%)+0.275%
Unibet (SE) 2.28 (44.0%)Pinnacle 1.79 (56.0%)+0.275%