Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-06 18:11 — MLB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Option 1: Kansas City Royals (Local)

Odds

2.3043.48%Min

2.4141.47%Mean

2.4041.67%Median

2.5040.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

38.44%2.601Min

40.00%2.500Max

39.51%2.531Mean

39.55%2.529Median

39.51%2.531IQM

39.49%2.533Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.50 under the IQM model: 39.51%

EV -1.22%Edge -0.487%Kelly -0.812%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Odds

1.5265.79%Min

1.5763.51%Mean

1.5763.69%Median

1.6361.35%Max

Consensus probabilities

60.00%1.667Min

61.56%1.624Max

60.49%1.653Mean

60.45%1.654Median

60.49%1.653IQM

60.51%1.653Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.63 under the IQM model: 60.49%

EV -1.41%Edge -0.862%Kelly -2.23%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Kansas City Royals (Local) ▼	Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)	Margin	Updated
GTbets	2.50I 40.00% NM 39.17%EV -1.22% E -0.487% K -0.812% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 60.83%EV -2.62% E -1.62% K -4.29% G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-05 18:30
LowVig.ag	2.49I 40.16% NM 39.27%EV -1.61% E -0.648% K -1.08% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 60.73%EV -2.62% E -1.62% K -4.29% G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-05 18:30
BetOnline.ag	2.49I 40.16% NM 39.27%EV -1.61% E -0.648% K -1.08% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 60.73%EV -2.62% E -1.62% K -4.29% G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-05 18:29
1xBet	2.46I 40.65% NM 39.85%EV -2.80% E -1.14% K -1.92% G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35% NM 60.15%EV -1.41% E -0.862% K -2.23% G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-05 18:30
MyBookie.ag	2.45I 40.82% NM 39.21%EV -3.19% E -1.30% K -2.20% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.79%EV -4.43% E -2.80% K -7.64% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-05 19:04
PointsBet (AU)	2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.19% E -1.30% K -2.20% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -5.03% E -3.21% K -8.83% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-05 19:00
Betway	2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.19% E -1.30% K -2.20% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -5.03% E -3.21% K -8.83% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-05 18:59
Fliff	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -3.19% E -1.30% K -2.20% G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -5.64% E -3.62% K -10.07% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-05 18:14
Paddy Power	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -3.19% E -1.30% K -2.20% G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -7.45% E -4.87% K -14.06% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 18:44
FanDuel	2.44I 40.98% NM 39.30%EV -3.59% E -1.47% K -2.49% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.70%EV -4.43% E -2.80% K -7.64% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-05 18:45
Caesars	2.43I 41.15% NM 39.55%EV -3.98% E -1.64% K -2.79% G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89% NM 60.45%EV -3.82% E -2.41% K -6.48% G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-05 18:45
Bet Right	2.42I 41.32% NM 39.35%EV -4.38% E -1.81% K -3.08% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.65%EV -5.03% E -3.21% K -8.83% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 18:45
DraftKings	2.41I 41.49% NM 39.60%EV -4.77% E -1.98% K -3.39% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.40%EV -4.43% E -2.80% K -7.64% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-05 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -3.22% E -2.01% K -5.37% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-05 19:00
Coral	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -3.22% E -2.01% K -5.37% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-05 19:00
Fanatics	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -3.82% E -2.41% K -6.48% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-05 18:45
BetMGM	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -3.82% E -2.41% K -6.48% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-05 18:59
PlayUp	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -4.43% E -2.80% K -7.64% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 19:15
Neds	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -4.43% E -2.80% K -7.64% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -4.43% E -2.80% K -7.64% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 19:00
Unibet (UK)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.03% E -3.21% K -8.83% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-05 19:00
888sport	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.03% E -3.21% K -8.83% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-05 18:30
Betr (AU)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.03% E -3.21% K -8.83% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-05 18:29
888sport (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.03% E -3.21% K -8.83% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-05 18:30
Mr Green (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.03% E -3.21% K -8.83% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-05 18:30
ReBet	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -5.64% E -3.62% K -10.07% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-05 18:45
Winamax (DE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -5.64% E -3.62% K -10.07% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-05 18:44
SportsBet	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -6.24% E -4.03% K -11.35% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 18:45
Bet Victor	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -5.17% E -2.15% K -3.69% G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -6.24% E -4.03% K -11.35% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 19:06
Betclic (FR)	2.39I 41.84% NM 39.49%EV -5.56% E -2.33% K -4.00% G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10% NM 60.51%EV -5.64% E -3.62% K -10.07% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-05 18:59
William Hill	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.96% E -2.50% K -4.32% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.03% E -3.21% K -8.83% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 18:15
NordicBet	2.37I 42.19% NM 40.00%EV -6.36% E -2.68% K -4.64% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.00%EV -4.43% E -2.80% K -7.64% G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-05 18:45
Betsson	2.37I 42.19% NM 40.00%EV -6.36% E -2.68% K -4.64% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.00%EV -4.43% E -2.80% K -7.64% G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-05 18:44
Unibet (FR)	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.79%EV -9.12% E -3.97% K -7.02% G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79% NM 60.21%EV -8.06% E -5.30% K -15.50% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-05 18:59
Winamax (FR)	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.79%EV -9.12% E -3.97% K -7.02% G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79% NM 60.21%EV -8.06% E -5.30% K -15.50% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-05 19:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Kansas City Royals (Local)	Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	2.56I 39.06%	1.63I 61.35%	0.4%	2026-07-05 19:30
Polymarket	2.50I 40.00%	1.64I 60.98%	1.0%	2026-07-05 18:10
Kalshi	2.56I 39.06%	1.59I 62.89%	2.0%	2026-07-05 18:10
Smarkets	2.28I 43.86%	1.51I 66.23%	10.1%	2026-07-05 19:00
Matchbook	2.10I 47.62%	1.45I 68.97%	16.6%	2026-07-05 19:05