The School of Odds

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

2026-07-06 23:16 — MLB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Option 1: Atlanta Braves (Local)

Odds
1.7058.82%Min
1.7856.08%Mean
1.7955.87%Median
1.8653.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
52.63%1.900Min
54.09%1.849Max
53.30%1.876Mean
53.25%1.878Median
53.24%1.878IQM
53.32%1.875Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.86 under the IQM model: 53.24%

EV -0.966%Edge -0.519%Kelly -1.12%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New York Mets (Visit)

Odds
1.9252.08%Min
2.0349.14%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.1147.39%Max
Consensus probabilities
45.91%2.178Min
47.37%2.111Max
46.70%2.141Mean
46.75%2.139Median
46.76%2.139IQM
46.68%2.142Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.11 under the IQM model: 46.76%

EV -1.35%Edge -0.638%Kelly -1.21%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAtlanta Braves (Local) ▼New York Mets (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.86I 53.76% NM 52.67%EV -0.966% E -0.519% K -1.12% G +0.000%2.07I 48.31% NM 47.33%EV -3.22% E -1.55% K -3.01% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 18:35
GTbets1.83I 54.64% NM 53.55%EV -2.56% E -1.40% K -3.09% G +0.000%2.11I 47.39% NM 46.45%EV -1.35% E -0.638% K -1.21% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 18:20
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 53.44%EV -2.56% E -1.40% K -3.09% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 46.56%EV -1.81% E -0.863% K -1.65% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 53.44%EV -2.56% E -1.40% K -3.09% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 46.56%EV -1.81% E -0.863% K -1.65% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 18:19
Fanatics1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:20
Caesars1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:50
Coral1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:49
BetMGM1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 18:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -4.62% E -2.26% K -4.44% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -4.62% E -2.26% K -4.44% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 18:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56% NM 52.88%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 47.12%EV -5.55% E -2.75% K -5.44% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 18:30
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.49% E -3.24% K -6.49% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 18:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.49% E -3.24% K -6.49% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:14
FanDuel1.79I 55.87% NM 53.75%EV -4.69% E -2.62% K -5.94% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 46.25%EV -2.75% E -1.32% K -2.54% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 19:00
DraftKings1.79I 55.87% NM 53.26%EV -4.69% E -2.62% K -5.94% G +0.000%2.04I 49.02% NM 46.74%EV -4.62% E -2.26% K -4.44% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 18:40
NordicBet1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -4.69% E -2.62% K -5.94% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.55% E -2.75% K -5.44% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:19
Betsson1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -4.69% E -2.62% K -5.94% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.55% E -2.75% K -5.44% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.52%EV -5.23% E -2.94% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.48%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:50
Neds1.78I 56.18% NM 53.52%EV -5.23% E -2.94% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.48%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18% NM 53.03%EV -5.23% E -2.94% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.01I 49.75% NM 46.97%EV -6.02% E -3.00% K -5.96% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.23% E -2.94% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -6.49% E -3.24% K -6.49% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 18:25
SportsBet1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -6.29% E -3.57% K -8.28% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -6.82% E -3.90% K -9.10% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 19:00
888sport1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -6.82% E -3.90% K -9.10% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -6.82% E -3.90% K -9.10% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -6.82% E -3.90% K -9.10% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -6.82% E -3.90% K -9.10% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -6.49% E -3.24% K -6.49% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 18:24
Fliff1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -7.36% E -4.23% K -9.94% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -4.15% E -2.02% K -3.95% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 18:49
ReBet1.74I 57.47% NM 52.85%EV -7.36% E -4.23% K -9.94% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 47.15%EV -8.83% E -4.53% K -9.29% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14% NM 52.88%EV -8.42% E -4.90% K -11.69% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 47.12%EV -9.76% E -5.06% K -10.50% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82% NM 53.04%EV -9.48% E -5.58% K -13.55% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 46.96%EV -10.23% E -5.33% K -11.12% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-05 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerAtlanta Braves (Local)New York Mets (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%2.13I 46.95%1.0%2026-07-05 18:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%2.13I 46.95%1.9%2026-07-05 18:50
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%1.93I 51.81%10.0%2026-07-05 18:20
Novig1.71I 58.48%1.94I 51.55%10.0%2026-07-05 19:35