St. Paul Saints v Buffalo Bisons

2026-07-05 19:07 — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Option 1: St. Paul Saints (Local)

Odds

1.6062.50%Min

1.6261.87%Mean

1.6261.73%Median

1.6361.35%Max

Consensus probabilities

57.59%1.736Min

58.67%1.704Max

58.06%1.722Mean

57.96%1.725Median

57.99%1.725IQM

58.09%1.721Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.63 under the IQM model: 57.99%

EV -5.48%Edge -3.36%Kelly -8.70%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Buffalo Bisons (Visit)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.2344.87%Mean

2.2245.05%Median

2.3043.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

41.33%2.420Min

42.41%2.358Max

41.94%2.384Mean

42.04%2.379Median

42.01%2.380IQM

41.91%2.386Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 42.01%

EV -3.37%Edge -1.46%Kelly -2.59%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	St. Paul Saints (Local) ▼	Buffalo Bisons (Visit)	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.63I 61.35% NM 57.88%EV -5.48% E -3.36% K -8.70% G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64% NM 42.12%EV -5.89% E -2.63% K -4.75% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 13:15
Caesars	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -6.06% E -3.74% K -9.78% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.37% E -1.46% K -2.59% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-05 13:54
theScore Bet	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.06% E -3.74% K -9.78% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -5.47% E -2.43% K -4.38% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 13:14
BetOnline.ag	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.03%EV -6.06% E -3.74% K -9.78% G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64% NM 41.97%EV -5.89% E -2.63% K -4.75% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-05 15:15
Bovada	1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -6.06% E -3.74% K -9.78% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -7.57% E -3.44% K -6.31% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-05 13:54
1xBet	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -6.64% E -4.13% K -10.89% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -7.57% E -3.44% K -6.31% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-05 13:35
Betway	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -6.64% E -4.13% K -10.89% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -7.57% E -3.44% K -6.31% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-05 16:10
BetRivers	1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -7.22% E -4.51% K -12.04% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -7.57% E -3.44% K -6.31% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-05 18:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth