The School of Odds

Virginia Cavaliers v NC State Wolfpack

2026-08-29 19:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

1.4071.43%Min
1.4966.95%Mean
1.5066.67%Median
1.5664.10%Max
61.58%1.624Min
65.63%1.524Max
63.64%1.571Mean
63.03%1.587Median
63.53%1.574IQM
63.55%1.574Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.56 under the IQM model: 63.53%

EV -0.887%Edge -0.569%Kelly -1.58%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: NC State Wolfpack (Visit)

2.5040.00%Min
2.6038.53%Mean
2.5539.22%Median
2.7536.36%Max
34.37%2.910Min
38.42%2.603Max
36.36%2.750Mean
36.97%2.705Median
36.47%2.742IQM
36.45%2.743Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 36.47%

EV +0.281%Edge +0.102%Kelly +0.161%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerVirginia Cavaliers (Local)NC State Wolfpack (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -8.51% E -5.91% K -19.34% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV +0.281% E +0.102% K +0.161% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-02 16:49
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -8.51% E -5.91% K -19.34% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV +0.281% E +0.102% K +0.161% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-02 16:50
Fanatics1.49I 67.11% NM 64.44%EV -5.33% E -3.58% K -10.89% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.56%EV -1.54% E -0.571% K -0.907% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-02 16:50
FanDuel1.49I 67.11% NM 64.27%EV -5.33% E -3.58% K -10.89% G +0.000%2.68I 37.31% NM 35.73%EV -2.27% E -0.847% K -1.35% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -4.70% E -3.13% K -9.40% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -3.37% E -1.27% K -2.04% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -4.70% E -3.13% K -9.40% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -3.37% E -1.27% K -2.04% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:50
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -4.70% E -3.13% K -9.40% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -3.37% E -1.27% K -2.04% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
betPARX1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -4.70% E -3.13% K -9.40% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -3.37% E -1.27% K -2.04% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 16:49
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43% NM 65.17%EV -11.05% E -7.89% K -27.63% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.83%EV -4.46% E -1.70% K -2.75% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-02 16:49
Caesars1.53I 65.36% NM 62.68%EV -2.79% E -1.83% K -5.27% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 37.32%EV -6.28% E -2.44% K -4.00% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 16:19
Bovada1.56I 64.10% NM 62.04%EV -0.887% E -0.569% K -1.58% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.96%EV -7.01% E -2.75% K -4.52% G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-23 16:18
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -4.70% E -3.13% K -9.40% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -7.01% E -2.75% K -4.52% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -4.70% E -3.13% K -9.40% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -7.01% E -2.75% K -4.52% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -4.70% E -3.13% K -9.40% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -7.01% E -2.75% K -4.52% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -4.70% E -3.13% K -9.40% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -7.01% E -2.75% K -4.52% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:40
BetRivers1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -4.70% E -3.13% K -9.40% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -7.01% E -2.75% K -4.52% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:50
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44% NM 63.91%EV -8.51% E -5.91% K -19.34% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.09%EV -7.01% E -2.75% K -4.52% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 12:29
NordicBet1.49I 67.11% NM 63.03%EV -5.33% E -3.58% K -10.89% G +0.000%2.54I 39.37% NM 36.97%EV -7.38% E -2.90% K -4.79% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-02 16:55
Betsson1.49I 67.11% NM 63.03%EV -5.33% E -3.58% K -10.89% G +0.000%2.54I 39.37% NM 36.97%EV -7.38% E -2.90% K -4.79% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-02 16:55
DraftKings1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -0.887% E -0.569% K -1.58% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -8.84% E -3.53% K -5.89% G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 16:20
GTbets1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -0.887% E -0.569% K -1.58% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -8.84% E -3.53% K -5.89% G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03% NM 62.97%EV -6.60% E -4.49% K -14.05% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.03%EV -8.84% E -3.53% K -5.89% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-02 16:54
SportsBet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV +6.74% E +4.01% K +9.91% G +0.668%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -19.77% E -8.99% K -16.48% G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV +6.10% E +3.65% K +9.11% G +0.556%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -19.77% E -8.99% K -16.48% G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 18:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV +6.10% E +3.65% K +9.11% G +0.556%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -19.77% E -8.99% K -16.48% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 20:39
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88% NM 56.51%EV +6.10% E +3.65% K +9.11% G +0.556%2.17I 46.08% NM 43.49%EV -20.87% E -9.62% K -17.84% G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth