The School of Odds

Troy Trojans v Sam Houston State Bearkats

2026-09-05 23:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: Troy Trojans (Local)

1.0793.46%Min
1.0892.25%Mean
1.0892.59%Median
1.1090.91%Max
84.53%1.183Min
88.73%1.127Max
87.66%1.141Mean
87.92%1.137Median
87.67%1.141IQM
87.76%1.139Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.10 under the IQM model: 87.67%

EV -3.56%Edge -3.24%Kelly -35.60%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sam Houston State Bearkats (Visit)

5.9016.95%Min
7.6313.11%Mean
7.9012.66%Median
8.5011.76%Max
11.27%8.870Min
15.47%6.463Max
12.34%8.102Mean
12.08%8.280Median
12.33%8.112IQM
12.24%8.169Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 8.50 under the IQM model: 12.33%

EV +4.78%Edge +0.562%Kelly +0.637%Growth +0.030%

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTroy Trojans (Local)Sam Houston State Bearkats (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.08I 92.59% NM 88.73%EV -5.31% E -4.92% K -66.42% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 11.27%EV +4.78% E +0.562% K +0.637% G +0.030%4.4%2026-06-20 20:39
GTbets1.09I 91.74% NM 88.45%EV -4.44% E -4.07% K -49.30% G +0.000%8.35I 11.98% NM 11.55%EV +2.93% E +0.351% K +0.399% G +0.012%3.7%2026-07-05 11:05
Bovada1.08I 92.59% NM 88.42%EV -5.31% E -4.92% K -66.42% G +0.000%8.25I 12.12% NM 11.58%EV +1.70% E +0.206% K +0.234% G +0.004%4.7%2026-06-20 20:39
Caesars1.08I 92.59% NM 88.11%EV -5.31% E -4.92% K -66.42% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 11.89%EV -1.38% E -0.173% K -0.198% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 20:39
Coolbet1.08I 92.59% NM 88.11%EV -5.31% E -4.92% K -66.42% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 11.89%EV -1.38% E -0.173% K -0.198% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 02:10
FanDuel1.09I 91.74% NM 87.74%EV -4.44% E -4.07% K -49.30% G +0.000%7.80I 12.82% NM 12.26%EV -3.85% E -0.493% K -0.566% G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91% NM 87.21%EV -3.56% E -3.24% K -35.60% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.79%EV -7.55% E -1.01% K -1.16% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-03 21:15
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74% NM 86.53%EV -4.44% E -4.07% K -49.30% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.47%EV -13.71% E -1.96% K -2.29% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 21:15
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46% NM 86.74%EV -6.19% E -5.79% K -88.43% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.26%EV -13.71% E -1.96% K -2.29% G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-08 22:39
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59% NM 84.53%EV -5.31% E -4.92% K -66.42% G +0.000%5.90I 16.95% NM 15.47%EV -27.27% E -4.62% K -5.57% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth