The School of Odds

Texas Longhorns v Texas State Bobcats

2026-09-05 19:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Texas Longhorns (Local)

1.00100.00%Min
1.0199.21%Mean
1.0199.01%Median
1.0199.01%Max
91.23%1.096Min
96.12%1.040Max
94.97%1.053Mean
95.01%1.052Median
95.01%1.052IQM
95.22%1.050Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.01 under the IQM model: 95.01%

EV -4.04%Edge -4.00%Kelly -403.72%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Texas State Bobcats (Visit)

10.509.52%Min
18.005.56%Mean
16.506.06%Median
25.004.00%Max
3.88%25.752Min
8.77%11.396Max
5.03%19.893Mean
4.99%20.051Median
4.99%20.051IQM
4.78%20.925Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 25.00 under the IQM model: 4.99%

EV +24.68%Edge +0.987%Kelly +1.03%Growth +0.254%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTexas Longhorns (Local)Texas State Bobcats (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.01I 99.01% NM 96.12%EV -4.04% E -4.00% K -403.72% G +0.000%25.00I 4.00% NM 3.88%EV +24.68% E +0.987% K +1.03% G +0.254%3.0%2026-06-01 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01% NM 95.79%EV -4.04% E -4.00% K -403.72% G +0.000%23.00I 4.35% NM 4.21%EV +14.71% E +0.640% K +0.669% G +0.098%3.4%2026-06-15 21:49
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01% NM 94.82%EV -4.04% E -4.00% K -403.72% G +0.000%18.50I 5.41% NM 5.18%EV -7.73% E -0.418% K -0.442% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 17:40
Coolbet1.01I 99.01% NM 94.23%EV -4.04% E -4.00% K -403.72% G +0.000%16.50I 6.06% NM 5.77%EV -17.71% E -1.07% K -1.14% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00% NM 93.75%EV -4.99% E -4.99% K +0.000% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.25%EV -25.19% E -1.68% K -1.80% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 10:49
Betsson1.01I 99.01% NM 93.27%EV -4.04% E -4.00% K -403.72% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.73%EV -30.18% E -2.16% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 10:49
NordicBet1.01I 99.01% NM 93.27%EV -4.04% E -4.00% K -403.72% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.73%EV -30.18% E -2.16% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 10:49
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01% NM 91.23%EV -4.04% E -4.00% K -403.72% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.77%EV -47.63% E -4.54% K -5.01% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth