The School of Odds

Oregon Ducks v Boise State Broncos

2026-09-05 19:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Oregon Ducks (Local)

1.0199.01%Min
1.0298.12%Mean
1.0298.04%Median
1.0397.09%Max
90.39%1.106Min
93.95%1.064Max
93.29%1.072Mean
93.63%1.068Median
93.35%1.071IQM
93.39%1.071Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.03 under the IQM model: 93.35%

EV -3.85%Edge -3.74%Kelly -128.24%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Boise State Broncos (Visit)

9.5010.53%Min
14.087.10%Mean
14.976.68%Median
16.006.25%Max
6.05%16.534Min
9.61%10.406Max
6.71%14.909Mean
6.37%15.706Median
6.65%15.043IQM
6.61%15.140Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 16.00 under the IQM model: 6.65%

EV +6.36%Edge +0.398%Kelly +0.424%Growth +0.027%

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerOregon Ducks (Local)Boise State Broncos (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.03I 97.09% NM 93.95%EV -3.85% E -3.74% K -128.24% G +0.000%16.00I 6.25% NM 6.05%EV +6.36% E +0.398% K +0.424% G +0.027%3.3%2026-06-20 20:29
FanDuel1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.78% E -4.69% K -239.03% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.284% E -0.019% K -0.020% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 02:50
SportsBet1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.78% E -4.69% K -239.03% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.284% E -0.019% K -0.020% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 02:49
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.78% E -4.69% K -239.03% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.284% E -0.019% K -0.020% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.78% E -4.69% K -239.03% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.284% E -0.019% K -0.020% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 18:30
Caesars1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.78% E -4.69% K -239.03% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.284% E -0.019% K -0.020% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 20:28
GTbets1.03I 97.09% NM 93.55%EV -3.85% E -3.74% K -128.24% G +0.000%14.95I 6.69% NM 6.45%EV -0.616% E -0.041% K -0.044% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-03 21:10
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04% NM 93.21%EV -4.78% E -4.69% K -239.03% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.79%EV -6.93% E -0.495% K -0.533% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 04:20
Bovada1.01I 99.01% NM 93.27%EV -5.71% E -5.66% K -571.42% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.73%EV -6.93% E -0.495% K -0.533% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 20:28
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01% NM 92.79%EV -5.71% E -5.66% K -571.42% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.21%EV -13.58% E -1.04% K -1.13% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-08 04:19
NordicBet1.02I 98.04% NM 92.46%EV -4.78% E -4.69% K -239.03% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.54%EV -16.90% E -1.35% K -1.47% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 14:10
Betsson1.02I 98.04% NM 92.46%EV -4.78% E -4.69% K -239.03% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.54%EV -16.90% E -1.35% K -1.47% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04% NM 92.46%EV -4.78% E -4.69% K -239.03% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.54%EV -16.90% E -1.35% K -1.47% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 04:19
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01% NM 90.39%EV -5.71% E -5.66% K -571.42% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.61%EV -36.85% E -3.88% K -4.33% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth