Ole Miss Rebels v Louisville Cardinals

2026-09-05 16:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Odds

1.3375.19%Min

1.4071.17%Mean

1.4270.18%Median

1.4568.97%Max

Consensus probabilities

65.88%1.518Min

70.51%1.418Max

68.67%1.456Mean

68.54%1.459Median

68.67%1.456IQM

68.48%1.460Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.45 under the IQM model: 68.67%

EV -0.422%Edge -0.291%Kelly -0.937%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Odds

2.8035.71%Min

2.9533.88%Mean

2.9034.48%Median

3.1831.45%Max

Consensus probabilities

29.49%3.391Min

34.12%2.931Max

31.33%3.192Mean

31.46%3.179Median

31.33%3.192IQM

31.52%3.172Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.18 under the IQM model: 31.33%

EV -0.385%Edge -0.121%Kelly -0.177%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Ole Miss Rebels (Local) ▼	Louisville Cardinals (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Bovada	1.45I 68.97% NM 65.88%EV -0.422% E -0.291% K -0.937% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 34.12%EV -12.29% E -4.39% K -6.83% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-18 16:49
Paddy Power	1.44I 69.44% NM 66.04%EV -1.11% E -0.770% K -2.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -12.29% E -4.39% K -6.83% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-11 17:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.44I 69.44% NM 66.04%EV -1.11% E -0.770% K -2.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -12.29% E -4.39% K -6.83% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-11 17:34
FanDuel	1.43I 69.93% NM 66.97%EV -1.80% E -1.26% K -4.18% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 33.03%EV -9.16% E -3.16% K -4.82% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-11 17:34
SportsBet	1.42I 70.42% NM 67.13%EV -2.48% E -1.75% K -5.91% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.87%EV -9.16% E -3.16% K -4.82% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-11 17:34
Caesars	1.40I 71.43% NM 68.54%EV -3.86% E -2.75% K -9.64% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 31.46%EV -4.46% E -1.46% K -2.17% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-23 13:47
NordicBet	1.33I 75.19% NM 70.51%EV -8.66% E -6.51% K -26.25% G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45% NM 29.49%EV -0.385% E -0.121% K -0.177% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-22 05:04
Betsson	1.33I 75.19% NM 70.51%EV -8.66% E -6.51% K -26.25% G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45% NM 29.49%EV -0.385% E -0.121% K -0.177% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-22 05:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth