The School of Odds

Ole Miss Rebels v Louisville Cardinals

2026-09-06 23:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

1.3574.07%Min
1.4071.47%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4469.44%Max
66.04%1.514Min
70.82%1.412Max
68.31%1.464Mean
68.18%1.467Median
68.08%1.469IQM
68.35%1.463Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.44 under the IQM model: 68.08%

EV -1.97%Edge -1.37%Kelly -4.48%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

2.7536.36%Min
2.9433.96%Mean
2.9034.48%Median
3.3030.30%Max
29.18%3.426Min
33.96%2.944Max
31.69%3.156Mean
31.82%3.143Median
31.92%3.132IQM
31.65%3.160Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 31.92%

EV +5.35%Edge +1.62%Kelly +2.33%Growth +0.124%

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerOle Miss Rebels (Local)Louisville Cardinals (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada1.36I 73.53% NM 70.82%EV -7.42% E -5.45% K -20.60% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 29.18%EV +5.35% E +1.62% K +2.33% G +0.124%3.8%2026-05-27 19:29
DraftKings1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -7.42% E -5.45% K -20.60% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV +3.75% E +1.15% K +1.67% G +0.063%4.3%2026-05-20 14:29
Caesars1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -4.69% E -3.35% K -11.73% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -4.23% E -1.41% K -2.11% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 11:59
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19% NM 69.28%EV -9.46% E -7.11% K -28.66% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.72%EV -4.23% E -1.41% K -2.11% G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 21:26
Betsson1.37I 72.99% NM 68.51%EV -6.74% E -4.92% K -18.20% G +0.000%2.98I 33.56% NM 31.49%EV -4.87% E -1.63% K -2.46% G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 10:19
NordicBet1.37I 72.99% NM 68.51%EV -6.74% E -4.92% K -18.20% G +0.000%2.98I 33.56% NM 31.49%EV -4.87% E -1.63% K -2.46% G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07% NM 68.60%EV -8.10% E -6.00% K -23.14% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.40%EV -5.82% E -1.97% K -2.99% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 13:39
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.69% E -3.35% K -11.73% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.42% E -2.56% K -3.91% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 17:29
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.69% E -3.35% K -11.73% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.42% E -2.56% K -3.91% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 17:30
FanDuel1.43I 69.93% NM 66.82%EV -2.65% E -1.85% K -6.17% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 33.18%EV -8.06% E -2.80% K -4.29% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 10:20
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43% NM 67.29%EV -4.69% E -3.35% K -11.73% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 32.71%EV -8.06% E -2.80% K -4.29% G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 10:19
SportsBet1.43I 69.93% NM 66.67%EV -2.65% E -1.85% K -6.17% G +0.000%2.86I 34.97% NM 33.33%EV -8.70% E -3.04% K -4.68% G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 10:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44% NM 66.04%EV -1.97% E -1.37% K -4.48% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -10.61% E -3.79% K -5.90% G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 66.04%EV -1.97% E -1.37% K -4.48% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -10.61% E -3.79% K -5.90% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -3.33% E -2.35% K -7.93% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -10.61% E -3.79% K -5.90% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
BetRivers1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -3.33% E -2.35% K -7.93% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -10.61% E -3.79% K -5.90% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -3.33% E -2.35% K -7.93% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -10.61% E -3.79% K -5.90% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
betPARX1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -3.33% E -2.35% K -7.93% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -10.61% E -3.79% K -5.90% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:49
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -3.33% E -2.35% K -7.93% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -10.61% E -3.79% K -5.90% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -3.33% E -2.35% K -7.93% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -10.61% E -3.79% K -5.90% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:49
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -3.33% E -2.35% K -7.93% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -10.61% E -3.79% K -5.90% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:50
Unibet1.42I 70.42% NM 65.95%EV -3.33% E -2.35% K -7.93% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.05%EV -12.21% E -4.44% K -6.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42% NM 65.95%EV -3.33% E -2.35% K -7.93% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.05%EV -12.21% E -4.44% K -6.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 13:50
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46% NM 66.59%EV -6.05% E -4.39% K -15.93% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.41%EV -12.21% E -4.44% K -6.98% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Arbitrage (2 combinations)+0.25%Paddy Power 1.44 (69.6%) / Bovada 3.30 (30.4%)Show all 2 combinations
Ole Miss Rebels (Local)Louisville Cardinals (Visit)Margin
Paddy Power 1.44 (69.6%)Bovada 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%
Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 1.44 (69.6%)Bovada 3.30 (30.4%)+0.253%