The School of Odds

New Mexico Lobos v Central Michigan Chippewas

2026-09-06 02:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: New Mexico Lobos (Local)

1.1487.72%Min
1.1785.20%Mean
1.1785.47%Median
1.2182.64%Max
79.51%1.258Min
81.92%1.221Max
80.45%1.243Mean
80.30%1.245Median
80.32%1.245IQM
80.47%1.243Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.21 under the IQM model: 80.32%

EV -2.81%Edge -2.32%Kelly -13.38%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit)

4.4522.47%Min
4.8620.57%Mean
4.8520.62%Median
5.3018.87%Max
18.08%5.530Min
20.49%4.879Max
19.55%5.115Mean
19.70%5.075Median
19.68%5.082IQM
19.53%5.121Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.30 under the IQM model: 19.68%

EV +4.29%Edge +0.810%Kelly +0.999%Growth +0.043%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNew Mexico Lobos (Local)Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.17I 85.47% NM 81.92%EV -6.02% E -5.15% K -35.43% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 18.08%EV +4.29% E +0.810% K +0.999% G +0.043%4.3%2026-06-26 13:49
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47% NM 81.78%EV -6.02% E -5.15% K -35.43% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 18.22%EV +3.31% E +0.631% K +0.779% G +0.026%4.5%2026-06-26 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21% NM 81.17%EV -6.83% E -5.89% K -42.67% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.83%EV -1.61% E -0.322% K -0.402% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 13:50
Coolbet1.18I 84.75% NM 80.59%EV -5.22% E -4.42% K -29.00% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 19.41%EV -3.58% E -0.730% K -0.917% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 13:49
Caesars1.20I 83.33% NM 80.00%EV -3.61% E -3.01% K -18.07% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 20.00%EV -5.54% E -1.16% K -1.46% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 20:39
DraftKings1.21I 82.64% NM 79.53%EV -2.81% E -2.32% K -13.38% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 20.47%EV -7.51% E -1.60% K -2.03% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 20:50
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21% NM 79.51%EV -6.83% E -5.89% K -42.67% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.49%EV -11.45% E -2.54% K -3.27% G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-09 06:19
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72% NM 79.61%EV -8.43% E -7.40% K -60.24% G +0.000%4.45I 22.47% NM 20.39%EV -12.43% E -2.79% K -3.60% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth