Mississippi State Bulldogs v UL Monroe Warhawks

2026-09-05 23:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Mississippi State Bulldogs (Local)

Odds

1.00100.00%Min

1.0198.85%Mean

1.0199.01%Median

1.0298.04%Max

Consensus probabilities

90.83%1.101Min

96.12%1.040Max

94.43%1.059Mean

93.99%1.064Median

93.99%1.064IQM

94.65%1.057Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.02 under the IQM model: 93.99%

EV -4.13%Edge -4.05%Kelly -206.46%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit)

Odds

10.0010.00%Min

16.256.15%Mean

15.506.45%Median

25.004.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

3.88%25.752Min

9.17%10.901Max

5.57%17.963Mean

6.01%16.642Median

6.01%16.642IQM

5.35%18.698Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 25.00 under the IQM model: 6.01%

EV +50.23%Edge +2.01%Kelly +2.09%Growth +1.05%

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Mississippi State Bulldogs (Local)	UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit) ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.01I 99.01% NM 96.12%EV -5.07% E -5.02% K -506.92% G +0.000%	25.00I 4.00% NM 3.88%EV +50.23% E +2.01% K +2.09% G +1.05%	3.0%	2026-06-03 04:00
Coolbet	1.01I 99.01% NM 94.23%EV -5.07% E -5.02% K -506.92% G +0.000%	16.50I 6.06% NM 5.77%EV -0.850% E -0.052% K -0.055% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-24 02:10
Hard Rock Bet	1.02I 98.04% NM 94.01%EV -4.13% E -4.05% K -206.46% G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25% NM 5.99%EV -3.85% E -0.241% K -0.257% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 19:49
Unibet (UK)	1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.13% E -4.05% K -206.46% G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -9.86% E -0.658% K -0.705% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-30 19:49
PointsBet (AU)	1.00I 100.00% NM 93.75%EV -6.01% E -6.01% K +0.000% G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67% NM 6.25%EV -9.86% E -0.658% K -0.705% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-03 10:29
LeoVegas	1.01I 99.01% NM 90.83%EV -5.07% E -5.02% K -506.92% G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00% NM 9.17%EV -39.91% E -3.99% K -4.43% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-02 10:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth