The School of Odds

Michigan Wolverines v Western Michigan Broncos

2026-09-05 23:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Odds
1.00100.00%Min
1.0199.17%Mean
1.0199.01%Median
1.0199.01%Max
Consensus probabilities
91.23%1.096Min
95.41%1.048Max
94.59%1.057Mean
94.59%1.057Median
94.59%1.057IQM
94.69%1.056Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.01 under the IQM model: 94.59%

EV -4.46%Edge -4.42%Kelly -446.19%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)

Odds
10.509.52%Min
16.755.97%Mean
17.505.71%Median
21.004.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
4.59%21.792Min
8.77%11.396Max
5.41%18.472Mean
5.41%18.492Median
5.41%18.492IQM
5.31%18.847Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 21.00 under the IQM model: 5.41%

EV +13.56%Edge +0.646%Kelly +0.678%Growth +0.092%

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMichigan Wolverines (Local)Western Michigan Broncos (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.01I 99.01% NM 95.41%EV -4.46% E -4.42% K -446.19% G +0.000%21.00I 4.76% NM 4.59%EV +13.56% E +0.646% K +0.678% G +0.092%3.8%2026-06-04 02:20
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01% NM 94.95%EV -4.46% E -4.42% K -446.19% G +0.000%19.00I 5.26% NM 5.05%EV +2.75% E +0.145% K +0.153% G +0.004%4.3%2026-06-04 04:50
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01% NM 94.82%EV -4.46% E -4.42% K -446.19% G +0.000%18.50I 5.41% NM 5.18%EV +0.044% E +0.002% K +0.003% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 10:19
Coolbet1.01I 99.01% NM 94.23%EV -4.46% E -4.42% K -446.19% G +0.000%16.50I 6.06% NM 5.77%EV -10.77% E -0.653% K -0.695% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00% NM 93.75%EV -5.41% E -5.41% K +0.000% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.25%EV -18.88% E -1.26% K -1.35% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 17:00
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01% NM 91.23%EV -4.46% E -4.42% K -446.19% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.77%EV -43.22% E -4.12% K -4.55% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth