The School of Odds

Michigan Wolverines v Oklahoma Sooners

2026-09-12 16:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

Option 1: Michigan Wolverines (Local)

1.6361.35%Min
1.6959.24%Mean
1.7058.82%Median
1.7158.48%Max
55.50%1.802Min
57.11%1.751Max
56.36%1.774Mean
56.70%1.764Median
56.39%1.773IQM
56.40%1.773Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.71 under the IQM model: 56.39%

EV -3.58%Edge -2.09%Kelly -5.04%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

2.0848.08%Min
2.1746.17%Mean
2.1845.87%Median
2.2544.44%Max
42.89%2.331Min
44.50%2.247Max
43.64%2.292Mean
43.30%2.310Median
43.61%2.293IQM
43.60%2.294Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 43.61%

EV -1.87%Edge -0.831%Kelly -1.50%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMichigan Wolverines (Local) ▼Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.58% E -2.09% K -5.04% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -4.05% E -1.84% K -3.37% G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 19:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -3.58% E -2.09% K -5.04% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -6.23% E -2.90% K -5.42% G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:09
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.92% E -2.26% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:09
betPARX1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.92% E -2.26% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:10
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.92% E -2.26% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.92% E -2.26% K -4.17% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.73%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.27%EV -6.67% E -3.12% K -5.85% G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 19:39
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.54% E -3.56% K -6.73% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
BetRivers1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.54% E -3.56% K -6.73% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.54% E -3.56% K -6.73% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
Unibet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.54% E -3.56% K -6.73% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.14% E -2.44% K -5.92% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.54% E -3.56% K -6.73% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
Bovada1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -4.71% E -2.79% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -1.87% E -0.831% K -1.50% G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 20:57
Caesars1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -4.71% E -2.79% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -1.87% E -0.831% K -1.50% G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 20:25
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17% NM 55.76%EV -4.71% E -2.79% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.13I 46.95% NM 44.24%EV -7.10% E -3.33% K -6.29% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 19:39
FanDuel1.68I 59.52% NM 56.92%EV -5.27% E -3.14% K -7.75% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 43.08%EV -3.18% E -1.43% K -2.60% G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 06:10
Coolbet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -5.27% E -3.14% K -7.75% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -4.05% E -1.84% K -3.37% G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 02:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88% NM 56.96%EV -5.84% E -3.49% K -8.71% G +0.000%2.21I 45.25% NM 43.04%EV -3.61% E -1.64% K -2.99% G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 06:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.84% E -3.49% K -8.71% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.05% E -1.84% K -3.37% G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.84% E -3.49% K -8.71% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.05% E -1.84% K -3.37% G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 18:30
NordicBet1.66I 60.24% NM 56.54%EV -6.40% E -3.85% K -9.70% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 43.46%EV -5.79% E -2.68% K -5.00% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 08:40
Betsson1.66I 60.24% NM 56.54%EV -6.40% E -3.85% K -9.70% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 43.46%EV -5.79% E -2.68% K -5.00% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 08:40
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61% NM 55.76%EV -6.96% E -4.22% K -10.71% G +0.000%2.08I 48.08% NM 44.24%EV -9.28% E -4.46% K -8.60% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35% NM 56.88%EV -8.09% E -4.96% K -12.84% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.12%EV -6.23% E -2.90% K -5.42% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-07 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth