The School of Odds

James Madison Dukes v Liberty Flames

2026-09-05 16:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: James Madison Dukes (Local)

1.3772.99%Min
1.4071.58%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4170.92%Max
66.59%1.502Min
68.89%1.452Max
67.79%1.475Mean
67.60%1.479Median
67.68%1.477IQM
67.83%1.474Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.41 under the IQM model: 67.68%

EV -4.57%Edge -3.24%Kelly -11.14%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Liberty Flames (Visit)

2.7536.36%Min
2.9533.92%Mean
2.9434.01%Median
3.1032.26%Max
31.11%3.214Min
33.41%2.993Max
32.21%3.104Mean
32.40%3.086Median
32.32%3.094IQM
32.17%3.109Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.10 under the IQM model: 32.32%

EV +0.181%Edge +0.058%Kelly +0.086%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerJames Madison Dukes (Local)Liberty Flames (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada1.40I 71.43% NM 68.89%EV -5.24% E -3.74% K -13.11% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 31.11%EV +0.181% E +0.058% K +0.086% G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 20:19
DraftKings1.40I 71.43% NM 68.54%EV -5.24% E -3.74% K -13.11% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.46%EV -1.44% E -0.471% K -0.700% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 20:19
GTbets1.39I 71.94% NM 68.69%EV -5.92% E -4.26% K -15.18% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.31%EV -1.44% E -0.471% K -0.700% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 21:39
Caesars1.41I 70.92% NM 68.03%EV -4.57% E -3.24% K -11.14% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.97%EV -3.05% E -1.02% K -1.53% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 20:18
FanDuel1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.57% E -3.24% K -11.14% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.67% E -1.58% K -2.39% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 14:50
Coolbet1.41I 70.92% NM 67.51%EV -4.57% E -3.24% K -11.14% G +0.000%2.93I 34.13% NM 32.49%EV -5.31% E -1.81% K -2.75% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-02 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.24% E -3.74% K -13.11% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.28% E -2.17% K -3.31% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 18:29
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.24% E -3.74% K -13.11% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.28% E -2.17% K -3.31% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99% NM 67.54%EV -7.27% E -5.31% K -19.66% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.46%EV -7.90% E -2.77% K -4.27% G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 18:30
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46% NM 66.59%EV -6.60% E -4.78% K -17.36% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.41%EV -11.13% E -4.05% K -6.36% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth