Iowa Hawkeyes v Iowa State Cyclones

2026-09-12 23:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Odds

1.1487.72%Min

1.1586.71%Mean

1.1586.58%Median

1.1785.47%Max

Consensus probabilities

80.48%1.243Min

82.32%1.215Max

81.92%1.221Mean

81.97%1.220Median

81.97%1.220IQM

81.97%1.220Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.17 under the IQM model: 81.97%

EV -4.10%Edge -3.50%Kelly -24.11%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)

Odds

4.7021.28%Min

5.1419.45%Mean

5.2219.14%Median

5.4018.52%Max

Consensus probabilities

17.68%5.655Min

19.52%5.123Max

18.08%5.531Mean

18.03%5.545Median

18.03%5.545IQM

18.03%5.546Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.40 under the IQM model: 18.03%

EV -2.62%Edge -0.485%Kelly -0.595%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Iowa Hawkeyes (Local) ▼	Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet	1.17I 85.47% NM 81.78%EV -4.10% E -3.50% K -24.11% G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05% NM 18.22%EV -5.32% E -1.01% K -1.25% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-22 14:39
FanDuel	1.16I 86.21% NM 82.32%EV -4.92% E -4.24% K -30.74% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 17.68%EV -2.62% E -0.485% K -0.595% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-21 15:50
Coolbet	1.16I 86.21% NM 82.04%EV -4.92% E -4.24% K -30.74% G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87% NM 17.96%EV -4.42% E -0.834% K -1.03% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-24 02:10
Unibet (UK)	1.15I 86.96% NM 81.89%EV -5.74% E -4.99% K -38.26% G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23% NM 18.11%EV -6.23% E -1.20% K -1.48% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-21 19:39
MyBookie.ag	1.15I 86.96% NM 81.89%EV -5.74% E -4.99% K -38.26% G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23% NM 18.11%EV -6.23% E -1.20% K -1.48% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-21 19:39
Betsson	1.14I 87.72% NM 82.19%EV -6.56% E -5.75% K -46.84% G +0.000%	5.26I 19.01% NM 17.81%EV -5.14% E -0.978% K -1.21% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-21 15:48
NordicBet	1.14I 87.72% NM 82.19%EV -6.56% E -5.75% K -46.84% G +0.000%	5.26I 19.01% NM 17.81%EV -5.14% E -0.978% K -1.21% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-21 15:50
PointsBet (AU)	1.14I 87.72% NM 81.43%EV -6.56% E -5.75% K -46.84% G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00% NM 18.57%EV -9.83% E -1.97% K -2.46% G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-21 15:50
LeoVegas	1.14I 87.72% NM 80.48%EV -6.56% E -5.75% K -46.84% G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28% NM 19.52%EV -15.24% E -3.24% K -4.12% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-02 10:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth