The School of Odds

Florida State Seminoles v New Mexico State Aggies

2026-08-29 23:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Florida State Seminoles (Local)

1.00100.00%Min
1.0199.13%Mean
1.0199.01%Median
1.0199.01%Max
91.23%1.096Min
96.12%1.040Max
93.88%1.065Mean
93.75%1.067Median
93.90%1.065IQM
94.31%1.060Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.01 under the IQM model: 93.90%

EV -5.16%Edge -5.11%Kelly -515.83%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New Mexico State Aggies (Visit)

10.509.52%Min
15.566.43%Mean
14.506.90%Median
25.004.00%Max
3.88%25.752Min
8.77%11.396Max
6.12%16.348Mean
6.25%16.000Median
6.10%16.401IQM
5.69%17.579Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 25.00 under the IQM model: 6.10%

EV +52.43%Edge +2.10%Kelly +2.18%Growth +1.15%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFlorida State Seminoles (Local)New Mexico State Aggies (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.01I 99.01% NM 96.12%EV -5.16% E -5.11% K -515.83% G +0.000%25.00I 4.00% NM 3.88%EV +52.43% E +2.10% K +2.18% G +1.15%3.0%2026-06-09 20:09
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01% NM 94.69%EV -5.16% E -5.11% K -515.83% G +0.000%18.00I 5.56% NM 5.31%EV +9.75% E +0.542% K +0.574% G +0.056%4.6%2026-07-03 21:15
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01% NM 94.39%EV -5.16% E -5.11% K -515.83% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.61%EV +3.65% E +0.215% K +0.228% G +0.008%4.9%2026-06-23 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00% NM 93.75%EV -6.10% E -6.10% K +0.000% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.25%EV -8.54% E -0.569% K -0.610% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 10:10
Betsson1.01I 99.01% NM 93.27%EV -5.16% E -5.11% K -515.83% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.73%EV -14.64% E -1.05% K -1.13% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 10:10
NordicBet1.01I 99.01% NM 93.27%EV -5.16% E -5.11% K -515.83% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.73%EV -14.64% E -1.05% K -1.13% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 10:10
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01% NM 91.59%EV -5.16% E -5.11% K -515.83% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.41%EV -32.93% E -2.99% K -3.29% G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 22:38
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01% NM 91.23%EV -5.16% E -5.11% K -515.83% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 8.77%EV -35.98% E -3.43% K -3.79% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-03 21:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth