The School of Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide v East Carolina Pirates

2026-09-05 16:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

1.0199.01%Min
1.0297.88%Mean
1.0298.04%Median
1.0397.09%Max
89.82%1.113Min
94.34%1.060Max
93.08%1.074Mean
93.11%1.074Median
93.11%1.074IQM
93.21%1.073Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.03 under the IQM model: 93.11%

EV -4.10%Edge -3.98%Kelly -136.58%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: East Carolina Pirates (Visit)

9.0011.11%Min
13.007.69%Mean
13.007.69%Median
17.005.88%Max
5.66%17.667Min
10.18%9.824Max
6.92%14.460Mean
6.89%14.512Median
6.89%14.512IQM
6.79%14.731Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 17.00 under the IQM model: 6.89%

EV +17.14%Edge +1.01%Kelly +1.07%Growth +0.184%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAlabama Crimson Tide (Local)East Carolina Pirates (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -5.03% E -4.93% K -251.42% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV +17.14% E +1.01% K +1.07% G +0.184%3.9%2026-06-01 07:30
Coolbet1.02I 98.04% NM 93.43%EV -5.03% E -4.93% K -251.42% G +0.000%14.50I 6.90% NM 6.57%EV -0.086% E -0.006% K -0.006% G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09% NM 92.66%EV -4.10% E -3.98% K -136.58% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.34%EV -10.42% E -0.802% K -0.868% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01% NM 92.79%EV -5.96% E -5.90% K -595.96% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.21%EV -10.42% E -0.802% K -0.868% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-02 18:09
Betsson1.02I 98.04% NM 92.46%EV -5.03% E -4.93% K -251.42% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.54%EV -13.87% E -1.11% K -1.21% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 13:59
NordicBet1.02I 98.04% NM 92.46%EV -5.03% E -4.93% K -251.42% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.54%EV -13.87% E -1.11% K -1.21% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.03I 97.09% NM 91.78%EV -4.10% E -3.98% K -136.58% G +0.000%11.50I 8.70% NM 8.22%EV -20.76% E -1.81% K -1.98% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 20:09
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04% NM 89.82%EV -5.03% E -4.93% K -251.42% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.18%EV -37.98% E -4.22% K -4.75% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth