Date: 2026-04-21
Consensus probability analysis for Real Madrid v Alavés across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +13.73% on Alavés (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid (Local) | 1.33 | +73.49% | +0.000% | -2.25% |
| Alavés (Visit) | 11.50 | +9.89% | +0.180% | +13.73% |
| Draw | 6.28 | +16.41% | +0.018% | +3.06% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.193% (28 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid (Local) | 1xBet | 1.33 | 75.3% |
| Alavés (Visit) | Unibet (SE) | 11.50 | 8.7% |
| Draw | BetOnline.ag | 6.28 | 16.0% |