Date: 2026-04-16
Consensus probability analysis for Carlos Alcaraz v Tomas Machac across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +11.38% on Tomas Machac (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz (Local) | 1.23 | +83.90% | +0.445% | +3.20% |
| Tomas Machac (Visit) | 7.19 | +15.49% | +0.209% | +11.38% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +5.03% (279 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz (Local) | FanDuel | 1.23 | 85.4% |
| Tomas Machac (Visit) | Pinnacle | 7.19 | 14.6% |