Date: 2026-04-14
Consensus probability analysis for Alejandro Tabilo v Joao Fonseca across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +0.279% on Alejandro Tabilo (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo (Local) | 3.08 | +32.56% | +0.000% | +0.279% |
| Joao Fonseca (Visit) | 1.49 | +67.26% | +0.001% | +0.222% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.420% (4 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo (Local) | Marathon Bet | 3.08 | 32.6% |
| Joao Fonseca (Visit) | GTbets | 1.49 | 67.4% |