Date: 2026-04-16
Consensus probability analysis for Aston Villa v Bologna across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +4.68% on Bologna (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (Local) | 1.73 | +58.10% | +0.004% | +0.516% |
| Bologna (Visit) | 5.64 | +18.56% | +0.047% | +4.68% |
| Draw | 4.30 | +23.19% | +0.000% | -0.296% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.23% (118 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (Local) | Unibet (SE) | 1.73 | 58.5% |
| Bologna (Visit) | 1xBet | 5.64 | 17.9% |
| Draw | FanDuel | 4.30 | 23.5% |