Date: 2026-04-18
Consensus probability analysis for Mark Vologdin v John Castaneda across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +2.80% on John Castaneda (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Vologdin (Local) | 1.97 | +50.68% | +0.000% | -0.170% |
| John Castaneda (Visit) | 2.10 | +48.95% | +0.071% | +2.80% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.65% (4 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Vologdin (Local) | Pinnacle | 1.97 | 51.6% |
| John Castaneda (Visit) | William Hill | 2.10 | 48.4% |